CTM, MC - $185m, Cash - $25m, EV - $160m Centaurus is one of the stocks I am most bullish about long term yet it doesn’t seem to get the attention I think it deserves. I think part of this is that Australian investors have a fear of Brazil as a jurisdiction because some have [...]
Q2 2020 Performance Report
As expected in this game the learning never stops. I think I took a lot more lessons out of Q2, but sometimes it is hard to know. It's always easier to look in the rear view mirror and think about things that you should have done differently. Looking back now on the market we have [...]
Why I like Blackstone Minerals (BSX ASX)
BSX, MC - A$34m, Cash - A$6.8m I have changed the way I invest/trade quite a lot over the last 18 months and have been in and out of BSX a lot of times during the past year but it is one stock I keep coming back to as I think it offers compelling value [...]
Q1 2020 Performance Report
Markets over the last 3 months have been eventful to put things lightly. The market has offered up high levels of volatility and over the course of the period sizeable moves in both directions. My performance for the quarter wasn't quite what I would have liked it to be but what it has provided me [...]
Q4 Performance Report
This one is a hard performance report to write but I started a process and I intend to continue it so I will push through In my Q3 report I spoke a little about what my 2019 goals were and what I was looking to improve on. At that point it was going pretty well [...]
ASX gold developers – how cheap are they?
Gold Market Let's start by talking about the gold price. A lot of the froth and excitement has come out of the gold market since it peaked in around mid September IMO. Talk has died right down and with it has gone the share price of producers and what I am calling developers (exploration companies [...]
Q3 Performance Report
I started my 2019 trading year with a few goals that I wanted to achieve. They were as follows: Improve my processes around the way I tradeImprove my mentality around the way I tradeLearn to use TA as part of my tool kit. So ¾’s of the way through the year seems like a good [...]
Unremarkable – My Tale.
I notice lately what feels like an increase of what has been a trend on fintwit or HC for a while now where everyone seems to have to have a label. Many want to claim they are poor old retail being led to the slaughter, and in the eyes of this group if you aren’t [...]
Pivoting Focus
Today I am going to try and explain the value in being able to pivot focus as a speculator at the small end of the market as it appears to be something that isn’t necessarily natural for most retail investors. Investment Styles I will preface this discussion by looking at a few different investment styles [...]
FA/TA Divergence – an early warning?
In light of a few recent outcomes particularly in the mining sector I thought it was a good time to discuss divergence in Fundamental Analysis (FA) and Technical Analysis (TA). I am going to use DCN as a real life example of discussing this divergence and how it can be used as an early warning [...]
